Property News 4U

Top Menu

  • Home
  • About us
  • Contact Us
  • Cookie Policy
  • Disclaimer
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms and Conditions

Main Menu

  • Buy Sell Rent
  • Commercial
  • Consultancy
  • Estate Agents
  • House Prices
  • Investment
  • New Homes
  • Home
  • About us
  • Contact Us
  • Cookie Policy
  • Disclaimer
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms and Conditions

logo

Property News 4U

  • Buy Sell Rent
  • Commercial
  • Consultancy
  • Estate Agents
  • House Prices
  • Investment
  • New Homes
  • Planning board denies recommendation for commercial building after public opposition – Salisbury Post

  • I make a fortune providing import, export consultancy

  • Banking on immigration to keep house prices inflated

  • Some Dubai developers now plan residential projects to rent rather than just sell

  • Saudi investment fund to buy 10% stake in Heathrow airport

House Prices
Home›House Prices›Will Housing Market Crash? Morgan Stanley Gives 2024 Prediction

Will Housing Market Crash? Morgan Stanley Gives 2024 Prediction

By Mary
November 20, 2023
5
0
Share:

The home price correction which began in the U.S. after the summer of 2022 is not quite over yet, according to Morgan Stanley, which expects prices across the country to fall by 3 percent next year, according to its latest forecast model.

After reaching a peak in June 2022, home prices in the U.S. dropped for seven months as demand faltered, with analysts announcing that the country’s market was undergoing a significant correction. But by early 2023, as inventory remained generally low across the country and demand stayed elevated, home prices started to pick up again, leading some to declare the market correction was likely over.

In May, home prices reached a new peak and were 0.7 percent higher than the previous record in June 2022, even as mortgage rates remained high. But Morgan Stanley said that the housing correction will likely continue next year.

Housing market, U.S.
A housing development in Santa Clarita, California, on September 8, 2023. Morgan Stanley expects home prices in the U.S. to drop by 3 percent in 2024.
Mario Tama/Getty Images

Back in August, Morgan Stanley—one of the world’s biggest names in investment banking—had predicted that house prices would slip by 2 percent next year. In October it revised its own expectations, saying that house prices could drop by as much as 5 percent next year.

In its latest revision of its expectations for 2024, Morgan Stanley went back to a more moderate drop, saying it expects home prices to fall by about 3 percent. Newsweek contacted Morgan Stanley by email for comment email on Monday.

“We expect affordability to improve and for sale inventory to increase. U.S. home prices should see modest declines (down 3% YoY) as the growth in inventory offsets the increased demand,” Morgan Stanley wrote, as quoted by journalist Lance Lambert on X, previously known as Twitter.

This further drop in price will help the American housing market and especially aspiring homebuyers, according to Ellen Zentner, Morgan Stanley’s chief U.S. economist.

“We expect home sales to be weak in the first half of next year, but activity should pick up in the second half and further into 2025,” Zentner said in a recent podcast released by the investment banking firm on November 17.

According to the economist, this comeback will be due primarily to an improvement in affordability, which has been a big issue for American homebuyers in the past couple of years as prices reached new heights while mortgage rates have soared since 2022 as the Federal Reserve tries to combat inflation.

An increase in inventory—which has been a big issue in the past few years, bringing up prices as homebuyers fought over a limited supply—should also ease the situation.

“We also think homebuilding activity will be stronger in the second half of next year,” Zentner said. “Home prices should see modest declines as growth in inventory offsets the increase in demand. By 2025 with lower rates existing home sales should rise more convincingly.”

A full-on crash of the housing market, like the one in 2008, is not in the picture, as Zentner said the investment manager expects “a soft landing for the U.S. economy.”

“We still maintain this view, even though strains in the economy are becoming more noticeable and recession fears remain alive,” she added.

Uncommon Knowledge

Newsweek is committed to challenging conventional wisdom and finding connections in the search for common ground.

Newsweek is committed to challenging conventional wisdom and finding connections in the search for common ground.

Source link

Previous Article

LA International Computer Consultants Ltd — Freelance ...

Next Article

Belmont approves commercial cannabis | Local News

0
Shares
  • 0
  • +
  • 0
  • 0
  • 0
  • 0

Related articles More from author

  • House Prices

    Real estate or Bitcoin: Which is more reliable?

    September 22, 2023
    By Mary
  • House Prices

    26% payment spike pushes US housing affordability to record low – Orange County Register

    October 18, 2023
    By Mary
  • House Prices

    Developers in Norfolk accused of ‘land banking’ to drive up house prices

    September 8, 2023
    By Mary
  • House Prices

    The Malaysian housing industry is efficient and competitive — the government should just focus on public housing

    November 11, 2023
    By Mary
  • House Prices

    London house prices still falling, but decline has slowed, Nationwide says

    October 2, 2023
    By Mary
  • House Prices

    Why Japanese knotweed is not a death sentence for your house price

    September 2, 2023
    By Mary

Leave a reply Cancel reply

You may interested

  • Commercial

    Symphony Financial Ltd. Co. Trims Stock Position in Commercial Metals (NYSE:CMC)

  • Buy Sell Rent

    Simon Property Group Using Elves Equipped With AI to Boost Sales

  • Consultancy

    Renowned Visa Consultancy, Sernexuss honoured at International Excellence Awards

Timeline

  • November 29, 2023

    Planning board denies recommendation for commercial building after public opposition – Salisbury Post

  • November 29, 2023

    I make a fortune providing import, export consultancy

  • November 29, 2023

    Banking on immigration to keep house prices inflated

  • November 29, 2023

    Some Dubai developers now plan residential projects to rent rather than just sell

  • November 29, 2023

    Saudi investment fund to buy 10% stake in Heathrow airport

Random Updates

Commercial

GreenPower Appoints Matheny Commercial EV As Commercial Truck Dealer in West Virginia | Licensing Marketing ...

State AlabamaAlaskaArizonaArkansasCaliforniaColoradoConnecticutDelawareFloridaGeorgiaHawaiiIdahoIllinoisIndianaIowaKansasKentuckyLouisianaMaineMarylandMassachusettsMichiganMinnesotaMississippiMissouriMontanaNebraskaNevadaNew HampshireNew JerseyNew MexicoNew YorkNorth CarolinaNorth DakotaOhioOklahomaOregonPennsylvaniaRhode IslandSouth CarolinaSouth DakotaTennesseeTexasUtahVermontVirginiaWashingtonWashington D.C.West VirginiaWisconsinWyomingPuerto RicoUS Virgin IslandsArmed Forces AmericasArmed Forces PacificArmed Forces EuropeNorthern Mariana IslandsMarshall IslandsAmerican SamoaFederated States of MicronesiaGuamPalauAlberta, CanadaBritish ...
  • Newmark Adds Carolyn Bates as Senior Research Director for Mid-Atlantic – Commercial Observer

    By Mary
    September 11, 2023
  • I’ve gone from a call centre job earning £14k to running a £2million business

    By Mary
    September 25, 2023
  • Warren Buffett Shared Timeless Investment Wisdom Nearly 40 Years Ago

    By Mary
    October 21, 2023
  • Commercial Real Estate Investors With Cash Continue To Bet On Interest Rates Coming Down

    By Mary
    August 7, 2023

Popular Updates

Consultancy

Milton Keynes based Net Zero Consultancy, TEAM Energy, launches employee electric vehicle scheme

Simon Miles, CEO, TEAM Energy (Photo: Submitted) TEAM has partnered with Octopus Energy to deliver the scheme which offers employees the opportunity to save up to 40% on a brand ...
  • IonQ: At The Verge Of Delivering A Commercial Quantum Computer (NYSE:IONQ)

    By Mary
    August 18, 2023
  • Commercial & Corporate Card Market Analysis of Current Scenario with Growth Forecast

    By Mary
    August 21, 2023
  • City leaders moving cautiously in consideration of additional requirements for housing, commercial developers ⋆ The Palm Springs Post

    By Mary
    August 3, 2023
  • Rites eyes ₹1,000 cr orders in Africa, foreign consulting

    By Mary
    August 2, 2023
  • Recent

  • Comments

  • Planning board denies recommendation for commercial building after public opposition – Salisbury Post

    By Mary
    November 29, 2023
  • I make a fortune providing import, export consultancy

    By Mary
    November 29, 2023
  • Banking on immigration to keep house prices inflated

    By Mary
    November 29, 2023
  • Some Dubai developers now plan residential projects to rent rather than just sell

    By Mary
    November 29, 2023

Follow us

  • Home
  • About us
  • Contact Us
  • Cookie Policy
  • Disclaimer
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms and Conditions
© Copyright Property News 4U. All rights reserved.

SUBSCRIBE TO OUR NEWSLETTER

Get our latest downloads and information first.

Complete the form below to subscribe to our weekly newsletter.



    Input this code: captcha